baseball-intellect.com, Carrasco would see his K% jump from 15.9% to 24.7%, his BB rate would increase slightly, but his groundball % would increase from 42% to 50% which helped lower his HR rate from 1.58 to 0.34. Carrasco would finish 2007 in AA Reading and finish the 2008 season in AAA Lehigh Valley where he'd finish the season with a 2-2 record and 1.72 ERA. Carrasco would struggle in his first full season in AAA. He would make 20 starts for Lehigh Valley and posted a 6-9 record with a very unflattering ERA of 5.18. He would also have a problem catching too much of the plate as he gave up 14 HR in 114.2 innings pitched (1.0 HR/9). I highly recommend checking out the baseball-intellect link.
Carlos Carrasco will be 24 years old come opening day 2011 and barring an injury will be a member of the rotation. He has made 57 starts at the AAA level going 23-18 with a 3.90 ERA over a total of 344 innings. What Cleveland fans are going to have to get used to is Carrasco's tendency to give up the HR ball. Through his three AAA minor league seasons his HR/9 rate was a 0.9 and in his brief stints in the majors it was 2.4 in 2009 and 1.2 in 2010. Carrasco is going to have to limit the walks which he had a 2.7 BB/9 through his three AAA seasons and a 4.4 in the majors in 2009 and a 2.8 in 2010. Carassco will have to improve his K/9 rates which over his three AAA seasons was 8.6 but slipped to 4.4 in 2009 and 7.7 in 2010. It should be noted that the 2009 and 2010 ML data is a very small sample size. Since the HR is Carrasco's primary challenge, I put together a look at all of Carrasco's gopher balls. From the slide show below you can see who hit the home run, what park it was in, what the count was, whether the batter was lefty/right, what type of pitch it was, etc. Additionally, if you click on the Game Recap picture you shoulld be able to see video of each home run.
CARLOS CARRASCO MINOR LEAGUE STATS
|2005||18||3 Teams||3 Lgs||A-A--Rk||PHI||1||10||7.92||1.735||2.1||3.7||6.5||1.76|
|2007||20||2 Teams||2 Lgs||AA-A+||PHI||12||6||3.86||1.300||1.1||4.4||6.6||1.50|
|2008||21||2 Teams||2 Lgs||AA-AAA||PHI||9||9||3.69||1.348||0.8||3.4||9.2||2.67|
|2009||22||2 Teams||1 Lg||AAA||PHI,CLE||11||10||4.64||1.236||1.0||2.6||8.5||3.29|
|AAA (3 seasons)||23||18||3.90||1.247||0.9||2.7||8.6||3.14|
|A (2 seasons)||13||13||3.61||1.234||0.7||3.8||8.3||2.20|
|AA (2 seasons)||13||11||4.52||1.432||1.1||4.4||7.7||1.74|
|Rk (2 seasons)||5||4||3.40||1.358||0.3||2.7||6.1||2.25|
|A- (1 season)||0||3||13.50||2.217||4.7||2.9||7.0||2.40|
|A+ (1 season)||6||2||2.84||1.019||1.0||2.8||6.8||2.41|