Friday, March 11, 2011

The Indians Offense & Walks

The 2010 Indians were 6th in the American League in drawing walks with 545.  To answer this question, I've taken the Indians record in games where they drew 0 to 7+ walks and compared the frequency of these events as well as their corresponding win percentage in these games to the AL League Average.  The table indicates that the Indians overall had less games than league average drawing 1,2, or 3 walks and a greater than league average in frequency of drawing 0, 4, 5, 6, or 7 or more walks in a game.   The Indians win percentage exceeded the league average only for games where the team drew 6 walks.

As shown in the tables below, drawing walks is a big part of winning baseball games.  Having a healthy Grady Sizemore and Carlos Santana back in the lineup should help increase the Indians walk total in 2011, help increase the frequency of games where the Indians draw 4 or more walks, and hopefully provide the power to provide the payoff for the walks into runs.   If the Indians can continue their trend of having their winning percentage increase when they draw 4 or more walks a game, the Indians should be able to increase their win total in 2011. 


INDIANS RECORD IN GAMES BY WALK TOTAL
BB
W
L
Win %
Freq
AL Win %
AL Freq
±AL Win%
±AL Freq
0
2
10
0.167
7.41%
0.301
6.00%
-0.135
1.41%
1
7
15
0.318
13.58%
0.403
14.99%
-0.085
-1.41%
2
11
14
0.440
15.43%
0.445
19.93%
-0.005
-4.50%
3
12
19
0.387
19.14%
0.493
19.22%
-0.106
-0.09%
4
10
17
0.370
16.67%
0.548
15.21%
-0.177
1.46%
5
8
10
0.444
11.11%
0.633
11.07%
-0.189
0.04%
6
10
2
0.833
7.41%
0.627
5.91%
0.206
1.50%
7
9
6
0.600
9.26%
0.667
7.67%
-0.067
1.59%



Did the Indians improve their overall W-L percentage when they drew 4 or more walks as opposed to 3 walks or less?  From the table below, the Indians had a .356 winning percentage when drawing less than 3 walks but a .514 win percentage when drawing 4 or more walks. 



DRAWING 3 WALKS OR LESS IN A GAME
AL Rank
Team
W
L 
Win %
Freq%
AL Win %
AL Freq%
±AL Win%
±AL Freq
1
Rays
41
29
0.586
43.21%
0.435
60.14%
0.151
-16.93%
2
White Sox
62
51
0.549
69.75%
0.435
60.14%
0.114
9.61%
3
Yankees
39
33
0.542
44.44%
0.435
60.14%
0.107
-15.70%
4
Red Sox
44
45
0.494
54.94%
0.435
60.14%
0.059
-5.20%
5
Blue Jays
49
56
0.467
64.81%
0.435
60.14%
0.032
4.67%
6
Rangers
44
54
0.449
60.49%
0.435
60.14%
0.014
0.35%
7
Angels
49
67
0.422
71.60%
0.435
60.14%
-0.013
11.46%
8
Twins
37
52
0.416
54.94%
0.435
60.14%
-0.019
-5.20%
9
Athletics
39
57
0.406
59.26%
0.435
60.14%
-0.029
-0.88%
10
Orioles
45
75
0.375
74.07%
0.435
60.14%
-0.060
13.93%
11
Mariners
40
67
0.374
66.05%
0.435
60.14%
-0.061
5.91%
12
Royals
39
67
0.368
65.43%
0.435
60.14%
-0.067
5.29%
13
Tigers
34
59
0.366
57.41%
0.435
60.14%
-0.069
-2.73%
14
Indians
32
58
0.356
55.56%
0.435
60.14%
-0.079
-4.58%




DRAWING 4 WALKS OR MORE IN A GAME
AL Rank
Team
W
L 
Win %
Freq%
AL Win %
AL Freq%
±AL Win%
±AL Freq
1
Twins
57
16
0.781
45.06%
0.606
39.86%
0.175
5.20%
2
Tigers
47
22
0.681
42.59%
0.606
39.86%
0.075
2.73%
3
Angels
31
15
0.674
28.40%
0.606
39.86%
0.068
-11.46%
4
Athletics
42
24
0.636
40.74%
0.606
39.86%
0.030
0.88%
5
Rangers
42
24
0.636
39.51%
0.606
39.86%
0.030
-0.35%
6
Blue Jays
36
21
0.632
35.19%
0.606
39.86%
0.025
-4.67%
7
Yankees
56
34
0.622
55.56%
0.606
39.86%
0.016
15.70%
8
Red Sox
45
28
0.616
45.06%
0.606
39.86%
0.010
5.20%
9
Rays
55
37
0.598
56.79%
0.606
39.86%
-0.008
16.93%
10
White Sox
26
23
0.531
30.25%
0.606
39.86%
-0.076
-9.61%
11
Indians
37
35
0.514
44.44%
0.606
39.86%
-0.092
4.58%
12
Royals
28
28
0.500
34.57%
0.606
39.86%
-0.106
-5.29%
13
Orioles
21
21
0.500
25.93%
0.606
39.86%
-0.106
-13.93%
14
Mariners
21
34
0.382
33.95%
0.606
39.86%
-0.224
-5.91%

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